Upper Air Chart Analysis

Date : 17 February 1999

Before I show many more upper air charts for a snowstorm this January, I must explain how they are analyzed; so I can discuss only the analyses and their consequences regarding weather in the next article. A review of the concepts of geostrophic and gradient winds is helpful. These are illustrated to left with their force balances. Because centrifugal force exists only in curved flow, gradient wind is valid for it - if it can be considered valid - see item 17 in scetion B (main site); but geostrophic wind only for straight flow. Both neglect friction, which is not a bad approximation above the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL), especially in the middle atmosphere. Both flow parallel with isobars and (geopotential) height contours, which are nearer where winds are strongest. "How near?" is actually a rather important question for chart analysis, as shown below.

Contour Spacing

The gradient wind equation using polar coordinates is :

g z/r = f s + s2/r
       1             2          3

z : height on a constant pressure surface
g : gravity force
s : wind speed
f : coriolis parameter  =  2 W sin j  , j : latitude
r : flow radius (or radial direction)

for which p denotes partial derivative. Term 1 is pressure gradient force, term 2 is coriolis force, and term 3 is centrifugal force. As curved flow becomes straight, flow radius becomes infinite; such that centrifugal force becomes 0. Thus for geostrophic winds, a specific pressure gradient corresponds with a specific wind speed;

s = (g z/r) / (2 W sin j)

a direct proportionality existing for each latitude. A strong gradient means contours are close together. For example, if winds were geostrophic, height contours would be 3 × further apart for 20 kt winds than for 60 kt winds at 30 °N. Geostrophic wind speed is inversely proportional with the sine of latitude though, so height contours would be twice as close at the North Pole than at 30 °N for 60 kt winds at each. If a little confusing, then the diagram to left may help. I thought avoiding further complication using geopotential height would be best here, which requires small adjustments because of latitudinal and vertical variations with respect to height.

Perhaps you can see that for curved flow (gradient winds), this exact proportionality is not true because of term 3. If you recall our coordinate system, s is positive for counterclockwise flow (normal Northern Hemisphere cyclonic flow); so pressure gradient is balanced with an extra term. Thus for the same height gradient (contour spacing), winds are weaker for positive flow and stronger for negative flow. For normal atmospheric situations where applicable, the curvature term 3 is typically smaller than the coriolis term 2. So for the above example of 60 kt winds at 30 °N, wind would be perhaps 45 kt for cyclonic flow or 80 kt for anticylonic flow as illustrated.

Analysis Techniques

Below are a surface, 850 mb, and 500 mb charts for 00 UTC 3 January 1999 (6 PM CDT 2 January 1999). A strong snowstorm was occurring over the southwest Great Lakes and surrounding regions @ that time - click on images (which open in a new window) for additional commentary, but commentary is best read after the entire text of this article is :
Surface chart
850 mb chart
500 mb chart

Let's first consider height contours on the upper air charts (850 & 500 mb). Height contours above the atmospheric boundary layer should generally be parallel with winds. This is not exactly so for several reasons - the most important of which are (geostrophic) flow adjustment processes, relatively small amounts of friction, and influence of convective disturbances and mesoscale (generally a few to a few hundred km spatial scale) storm circulations. The latter is not so important for a winter storm such as this. Regarding spacing, linear interpolation is almost never bad - often a good first approximation; but then should be adjusted for wind speed. As illustrated above, contour spacing should be roughly inversely proportional with wind speed (twice as close together for twice as fast winds, etc.), with adjustments for curvature and latitude. This is not a strict rule, but gradient wind is not a bad approximation above the ABL. Before objective analysis was so common, graphical guides such as that shown below were used :

This is a transparent plastic object which can be placed over a map of the specified projection and scale. The bottom diagram shows how height/pressure contours correspond with geostrophic wind speeds. Characteristics mentioned above of how contour spacing corresponds with geostrophic wind speed are evident - spacing of straight contours on a map should theoretically be the distance slanted lines are from the bottom horizontal line. The series of curves to its upper right are curvature parameters for gradient winds. Please notice that the numbers shown are not curvature radius r as defined above. They are actually opposite - 0 corresponding with a straight contour line and increasing numbers corresponding with sharper curvature. The 2 tables above list how gradient wind speeds should be adjusted from geostrophic values for specific curvature radii. This is not presented for use, but simply as a good illustration of some of the concepts discussed, how they affect chart analysis, and a practical solution for dealing with this. An analyst would not examine every curve & line, making sure that they correspond with the guide; but do spot checks for making sure the analysis is generally accurate and consistent, and use it for questionable regions and realism of supposed small-scale features such as shortwave trofs (small wavelength trofs). I don't think I have any maps of the type this is valid for, so the main thing I use it for now is a hard, flat writing surface If you want this diagram further explained though, please ask.

Contours of surface altimeter settings are similar with geopotential height contours; though with friction being much more important, winds tend to flow toward low pressure and away from high pressure as well as around. The same basic characteristic of strong winds corresponding with close contours exists, though factors such as flow over variable surfaces and sometimes inconsistent wind measurement heights make a strict equation impossible.

A general tendency you likely notice is how contours can sharply vary at the surface but become progressively smoother further aloft. This is mainly because of surface friction, that fronts are generally best defined near the surface, that most atmospheric turbulence occurs in the lower atmosphere, and because surface data is much more abundant than aloft. If more data were available aloft, perhaps those maps wouldn't appear quite as smooth. I suppose I analyzed the 500 mb chart a little like a klutz, but the worse problem would be portraying features which aren't present. Some shortwave trofs and microridges may be present at 500 mb which aren't analyzed, but my advice is not assuming so unless you have good evidence that such features exist - such as a locally sharp height gradient which corresponds well with shifting or turning winds, a clearly associated feature on satellite or radar imagery, etc. I had neither of the available for this analysis, but I think the charts are sufficient for illustrative purposes.

Regarding isotherms, linear interpolation is often very good. Exceptions may be locations where you know a gradient is likely sharper because of a surface front, cloudy or clear areas, etc. These should also be smooth unless a good reason is known why they shouldn't.

For any type of contours, be aware of an undesirable tendency of steering around stations. Remember that the data is not perfect, and drawing a curve which does not interpolate can be correct. Some data points may be grossly unrepresentative, and probably should be ignored. I mention a few examples above along with the charts.


Text and embedded images are copyright of Joseph Bartlo, though may be used with proper crediting.

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